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And around the circle we go.As I stated in my post, a person elected into AOA likely has high board scores, research, great grades, etc.. That's the reason for election in the first place.
Hence why it's not an independent variable and why you cannot say having AOA gives you a 96% chance of matching.
If you have AOA, a 210, no research, and crappy letters, your chance of matching is not 96%.
Doing a 2x2 square gives a relative risk of 7.32, ie. regardless of other outcome parameters, being AOA increases your chance of matching 7.32 fold. The question of course becomes determining your pre-AOA matching probability based off other parameters, which is basically impossible to do since many aspects of matching can not me numerically charted (MSPE, dean's leter, interview, etc.)
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i anyone bothered to read the NRMP charting the outcomes and how it is actually made..
it's from the nrmp/eras statistics. The stats are *very* real.
Oh, and I was one of the applicants with 260, many honors, hit all of the stats, and did not match.
I ranked 17 places.
The statistic makes me cry (literally.)
Everyone says "you fell through the cracks"... Who knows.
I have 5 interviews so far this year.. we'll see.
It's too early to tell. You guys are all freaking out because most other specialties have given out there interviews.
REMEMBER. it's Nov 2nd that mspe comes out.. it's NOV 11th!.. 8 days later.. including 2 days which were weekend.
Most places haven't even distributed the application packets out..
Enjoy the frustration.. it's random.. and it only takes one rank to match!
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AOA members with such stats (210, no research, poor grades, poor letters because of poor clinical performance)
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